538 2024 Projections. National polls have shown trump gaining ground since the debate, and polls in swing states have also shown trump widening his margins, as seen in this chart. This article explains how we did it:
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National Polls Have Shown Trump Gaining Ground Since The Debate, And Polls In Swing States Have Also Shown Trump Widening His Margins, As Seen In This Chart.
Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict the election results across the country.